While We Were Debating the Slap Seen 'Round the World, a Federal Judge Begged the Justice Department to Indict Donald Trump

John Eastman, the lawyer who authored the legal “justification” for Trump’s illegal plan to stop the Electoral Count on January 6, filed a lawsuit to prevent Congress’ January 6th committee from obtaining 111 documents that it subpoenaed from him, arguing attorney-client privilege. 

Eastman and the committee agreed to let the judge in the case, David Carter, review all 111 documents and decide whether they should be given to Congress. Carter ruled today that 101 of the documents be given to Congress. 

Carter’s analysis of the evidence also led him to conclude in the ruling that Eastman and Trump “more likely than not” engaged in illegal activity, and that both knew that their claims that the 2020 election was fraudulent and that Vice President Pence had the power to stop the count were false.

Carter’s 44-page opinion should be required reading for all Americans. The following are some his most startling findings after his review of the evidence. Carter is ruling in a civil case, but his decision is really a plea to the Justice Department to indict Trump and Eastman. (Every statement of fact in his opinion has a citation to its source. I’ve removed those citations in these quotations from Carters ruling, which follow:)

In the months following the election, numerous credible sources–from the President’s inner circle to agency leadership to statisticians–informed President Trump and Dr. Eastman that there was no evidence of election fraud. One week after the election, the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency declared “[t]he November 3rd election [] the most secure in American history” and found “no evidence that any voting system deleted or lost votes, changed votes, or was in any way compromised.” An internal Trump Campaign memo concluded in November that fraud claims related to Dominion voting machines were baseless. In early December, Attorney General Barr publicly stated there was no ev idence of fraud, and on December 27, Deputy Attorney General Donoghue privately told President Trump that after “dozens of investigations, hundreds of interviews,” the Department of Justice had concluded that “the major allegations [of election fraud] are not supported by the evidence developed.” President Trump repeatedly urged that “the Department [of Justice] should publicly say that the election is corrupt or suspect or not reliable.” 

By early January, more than sixty court cases alleging fraud had been dismissed for lack of evidence or lack of standing.

On January 4, President Trump and Dr. Eastman invited Vice President Pence, the Vice President’s counsel Greg Jacob, and the Vice President’s Chief of Staff Marc Short to the Oval Office to discuss Dr. Eastman’s memo. Dr. Eastman presented only two courses of action for the Vice President on January 6: to reject electors or delay the count. During that meeting, Vice President Pence consistently held that he did not possess the authority to carry out Dr. Eastman’s proposal.

The Vice President’s counsel and chief of staff were then directed to meet separately with Dr. Eastman the next day to review materials in support of his plan. Dr. Eastman opened the meeting on January 5 bluntly: “I’m here asking you to reject the electors.” Vice President’s counsel Greg Jacob and Dr. Eastman spent the majority of the meeting in a Socratic debate on the merits of the memo’s legal arguments. Over the course of their discussion, Dr. Eastman’s focus pivoted from requesting Vice President Pence reject the electors to asking him to delay the count, which he presented as more “palatable.” Ultimately, Dr. Eastman conceded that his argument was contrary to consistent historical practice, would likely be unanimously rejected by the Supreme Court,38 and violated the Electoral Count Act on four separate grounds

President Trump facilitated two meetings in the days before January 6 that were explicitly tied to persuading Vice President Pence to disrupt the Joint Session of Congress. On January 4, President Trump and Dr. Eastman hosted a meeting in the Oval Office with Vice President Pence, the Vice President’s counsel Greg Jacob, and the Vice President’s Chief of Staff Marc Short. At that meeting, Dr. Eastman presented his plan to Vice President Pence, focusing on either rejecting electors or delaying the count.210 When Vice President Pence was unpersuaded, President Trump sent Dr. Eastman to review the plan in depth with the Vice President’s counsel on January 5. Vice President Pence’s counsel interpreted Dr. Eastman’s presentation as being on behalf of the President.

On the morning of January 6, President Trump made several last-minute “revised appeal[s] to the Vice President” to pressure him into carrying out the plan. At 1:00 am, President Trump tweeted: “If Vice President @Mike_Pence comes through for us, we will win the Presidency . . . Mike can send it back!” At 8:17 am, President Trump tweeted: “All Mike Pence has to do is send them back to the States, AND WE WIN. Do it Mike, this is a time for extreme courage!” Shortly after, President Trump rang Vice President Pence and once again urged him “to make the call” and enact the plan. Just before the Joint Session of Congress began, President Trump gave a speech to a large crowd on the Ellipse in which he warned, “[a]nd Mike Pence, I hope you’re going to stand up for the good of our Constitution and for the good of our country. And if you’re not, I’m going to be very disappointed in you. I will tell you right now.” President Trump ended his speech by galvanizing the crowd to join him in enacting the plan: “[L]et’s walk down Pennsylvania Avenue” to give Vice President Pence and Congress “the kind of pride and boldness that they need to take back our country.”

Together, these actions more likely than not constitute attempts to obstruct an official proceeding.

A person violates § 1512(c) when they obstruct an official proceeding with a corrupt mindset. The Ninth Circuit has not defined “corruptly” for purposes of this statute. However, the court has made clear that the threshold for acting “corruptly” is lower than “consciousness of wrongdoing,” meaning a person does not need to know their actions are wrong to break the law. Because President Trump likely knew that the plan to disrupt the electoral count was wrongful, his mindset exceeds the threshold for acting “corruptly” under § 1512(c).

President Trump and Dr. Eastman justified the plan with allegations of election fraud— but President Trump likely knew the justification was baseless, and therefore that the entire plan was unlawful. Although Dr. Eastman argues that President Trump was advised several state elections were fraudulent, the Select Committee points to numerous executive branch officials who publicly stated and privately stressed to President Trump226 that there was no evidence of fraud. By early January, more than sixty courts dismissed cases alleging fraud due to lack of standing or lack of evidence, noting that they made “strained legal arguments without merit and speculative accusations” and that “there is no evidence to support accusations of voter fraud.” President Trump’s repeated pleas for Georgia Secretary of State Raffensperger clearly demonstrate that his justification was not to investigate fraud, but to win the election: “So what are we going to do here, folks? I only need 11,000 votes. Fellas, I need 11,000 votes. Give me a break.” Taken together, this evidence demonstrates that President Trump likely knew the electoral count plan had no factual justification.

The plan not only lacked factual basis but also legal justification. Dr. Eastman’s memo noted that the plan was “BOLD, Certainly.” The memo declared Dr. Eastman’s intent to step outside the bounds of normal legal practice: “we’re no longer playing by Queensbury Rules.” In addition, Vice President Pence “very consistent[ly]” made clear to President Trump that the plan was unlawful, refusing “many times” to unilaterally reject electors or return them to the states. In the meeting in the Oval Office two days before January 6, Vice President Pence stressed his “immediate instinct [] that there is no way that one person could be entrusted by the Framers to exercise that authority.”

Dr. Eastman argues that the plan was legally justified as it “was grounded on a good faith interpretation of the Constitution.” But “ignorance of the law is no excuse,” and believing the Electoral Count Act was unconstitutional did not give President Trump license to violate it. Disagreeing with the law entitled President Trump to seek a remedy in court, not to disrupt a constitutionally-mandated process. And President Trump knew how to pursue election claims in court—after filing and losing more than sixty suits, this plan was a last-ditch attempt to secure the Presidency by any means.

The illegality of the plan was obvious. Our nation was founded on the peaceful transition of power, epitomized by George Washington laying down his sword to make way for democratic elections. Ignoring this history, President Trump vigorously campaigned for the Vice President to single-handedly determine the results of the 2020 election. As Vice President Pence stated, “no Vice President in American history has ever asserted such authority.” Every American—and certainly the President of the United States—knows that in a democracy, leaders are elected, not installed. With a plan this “BOLD,” President Trump knowingly tried to subvert this fundamental principle.

Based on the evidence, the Court finds it more likely than not that President Trump corruptly attempted to obstruct the Joint Session of Congress on January 6, 2021.

The Court discussed above how the evidence shows that President Trump likely knew that the electoral count plan was illegal. President Trump continuing to push that plan despite being aware of its illegality constituted obstruction by “dishonest” means under § 371.

The evidence also demonstrates that Dr. Eastman likely knew that the plan was unlawful. Dr. Eastman heard from numerous mentors and like-minded colleagues that his plan had no basis in history or precedent. Fourth Circuit Judge Luttig, for whom Dr. Eastman clerked, publicly stated that the plan’s analysis was “incorrect at every turn.” Vice President Pence’s legal counsel spent hours refuting each part of the plan to Dr. Eastman, including noting there had never been a departure from the Electoral Count Act and that not “a single one of [the] Framers would agree with [his] position.”

Dr. Eastman himself repeatedly recognized that his plan had no legal support. In his discussion with the Vice President’s counsel, Dr. Eastman “acknowledged” the “100 percent consistent historical practice since the time of the Founding” that the Vice President did not have the authority to act as the memo proposed. More importantly, Dr. Eastman admitted more than once that “his proposal violate[d] several provisions of statutory law,” including explicitly characterizing the plan as “one more relatively minor violation” of the Electoral Count Act.256 In addition, on January 5, Dr. Eastman conceded that the Supreme Court would unanimously reject his plan for the Vice President to reject electoral votes. Later that day, Dr. Eastman admitted that his “more palatable” idea to have the Vice President delay, rather than reject counting electors, rested on “the same basic legal theory” that he knew would not survive judicial scrutiny.

Dr. Eastman’s views on the Electoral Count Act are not, as he argues, a “good faith interpretation” of the law; they are a partisan distortion of the democratic process. His plan was driven not by preserving the Constitution, but by winning the 2020 election:

[Dr. Eastman] acknowledged that he didn’t think Kamala Harris should have that authority in 2024; he didn’t think Al Gore should have had it in 2000; and he acknowledged that no small government conservative should think that that was the case.

Dr. Eastman also understood the gravity of his plan for democracy—he acknowledged “[y]ou would just have the same party win continuously if [the] Vice President had the authority to just declare the winner of every State.”

The evidence shows that Dr. Eastman was aware that his plan violated the Electoral Count Act. Dr. Eastman likely acted deceitfully and dishonestly each time he pushed an outcome-driven plan that he knew was unsupported by the law. 

President Trump and Dr. Eastman participated in numerous overt acts in furtherance of their shared plan. As detailed at length above, President Trump’s acts to strong-arm Vice President Pence into following the plan included meeting with and calling the Vice President and berating him in a speech to thousands outside the Capitol.262 Dr. Eastman joined for one of those meetings, spent hours attempting to convince the Vice President’s counsel to support the plan, and gave his own speech at the Ellipse “demanding” the Vice President “stand up” and enact his plan.

Based on the evidence, the Court finds that it is more likely than not that President Trump and Dr. Eastman dishonestly conspired to obstruct the Joint Session of Congress on January 6, 2021.

Dr. Eastman and President Trump launched a campaign to overturn a democratic election, an action unprecedented in American history. Their campaign was not confined to the ivory tower—it was a coup in search of a legal theory. The plan spurred violent attacks on the seat of our nation’s government, led to the deaths of several law enforcement officers, and deepened public distrust in our political process.

More than a year after the attack on our Capitol, the public is still searching for accountability. This case cannot provide it. The Court is tasked only with deciding a dispute over a handful of emails. This is not a criminal prosecution; this is not even a civil liability suit. At most, this case is a warning about the dangers of “legal theories” gone wrong, the powerful abusing public platforms, and desperation to win at all costs. If Dr. Eastman and President Trump’s plan had worked, it would have permanently ended the peaceful transition of power, undermining American democracy and the Constitution. If the country does not commit to investigating and pursuing accountability for those responsible, the Court fears January 6 will repeat itself.

 DATED: March 28, 2022

DAVID O. CARTER

UNITED STATES DISTRICT JUDGE

The Politics of Fear

Fellow anti-Trumpers, get a grip. Our worst enemy isn’t Donald Trump. It’s our cowardly, indecisive, and ill-informed selves.

Yes, we all want to beat Trump.

Yes, Trump can be reelected.

Yes, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Four more years of Trump and the United States will be a full-fledged banana republic.

Yes, Trump will conduct the most brutal, nasty, and sleazy campaign in American history, and he will have his own $1-billion disinformation campaign and the help of the Russians.

Yes, none of us want to mess this up by choosing the wrong candidate.

These extreme challenges should equate to a laser focused, highly energized resistance. And there are such people, and they are already hard at work on the 2020 election.

But there is an enormous amount of fear, indecision, and ignorance amongst us anti-Trump voters. The election campaign is just beginning, and people are claiming that they are exhausted. They can’t make up their minds about which Democrat to vote for. They are afraid that no one can beat Trump. Many believe the absurd talking points the Trumpists have concocted about the Democratic candidates.

Democrats are still suffering from post-traumatic stress disorder from the 2016 primaries and general election. They continue to stare at national polls, which mean absolutely nothing in terms of the Presidential election. They are willfully ignoring what has happened since 2016 and the obvious path to victory in 2020.

Beating Trump will be hard. But if you believe it is impossible, you are ignoring these important facts:

For the past year polls have shown every conceivable Democratic candidate beating Trump in the general election. Every one of them.

129,085,410 votes were cast in 2016. Trump won because of 30,000 votes cast in five states.

There are 12 million more registered Democrats than Republicans in this country.

Trump is the most unpopular President since Herbert Hoover.

Nearly all Americans made up their minds about Trump three years ago. His poll numbers have been flatlined in negative territory forever.

The Democrats won an historically spectacular victory in the 2018 midterm elections. We won the House of Representatives. We won governorships in Michigan, Wisconsin, New Mexico, and deep-red Kansas. We won control of both state houses and the governorships in Colorado, Illinois, Maine, Nevada, New Mexico and New York. We flipped both state houses in New Hampshire. We flipped the state senates in Colorado, Maine, Connecticut, and New York, and the state House in Minnesota. We busted up the supermajorities in the Michigan senate and in both chambers of the North Carolina legislature. We won supermajorities in the house chambers in Delaware and Illinois, the Nevada Assembly and both chambers of the Oregon state
legislature. We made strong gains in the red or purple states of Arizona, Indiana, Iowa, Florida, Kansas, New Mexico, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Republican incumbents in Congress and state legislatures have been retiring in record numbers since 2016, removing the advantage of incumbency. In elections with no incumbent held since 2016, Republican candidates on average are running 5 points behind the unpopular Trump. The replacement candidates for these retirees tend to me far more extreme, which, in swing states, makes them more beatable.

The Midwest—which we all know after 2016 will be critical to the Presidential election—has been the best region for the Democrats since 2016. In elections held since then, Democrats have performed 10.2 points better in the Midwest than Clinton did in 2016.

Trump has been underwater in polls taken in the past year in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Texas, Georgia, Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, and Arizona.

The 2020 U.S. Senate map favors the Democrats. Twenty-three of the 35 Senate seats that are up for grabs in 2020—including special elections in Arizona and Georgia—are held by the White Supramacist party.

The vast majority of Americans do not support the White Supremacist Party’s positions on healthcare, climate change, abortion rights, gun control, voting rights, Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security.

Trump’s just-released 2020 budget is a jaw-dropping gift to the Democrats: a half-a-trillion-dollar cut to Medicare, roughly $900 billion in cuts to Medicaid, and a $24 billion cut to Social Security.

The national polls, of course, are meaningless when it comes to the 2020 Presidential election, which will be decided by six to nine swing states, give or take a few. It’s clear that Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona and Colorado will be critical when it comes to beating Trump. How are things looking in those states?

The only polling site I could find that posts state-by-state favorable/unfavorable Trump polling results was Morning Consult. They are not the most highly rated polling outfit, but they are legit. They are Politico’s polling partner. 538.com gives them a B- more their 75% accuracy track record and a 2% bias in favor of Democrats.

The Morning Consult site shows Trump’s approval ratings trend since 2016 by state. So how do their polls show Trump doing in our nine swing states? Trump’s support since the election has plunged in all of them:

Down 11 points in Arizona (53% unfavorable)

Down 14 points in Colorado (53% unfavorable)

Down 24 points in Florida (currently 49% favorable)

Down 20 points in Michigan (54% disapprove)

Down 10 points in Minnesota (54% disapprove)

Down 14 points in New Hampshire (55% disapprove)

Down 19 points in North Carolina (49% disapprove)

Down 11 points in Pennsylvania (49% disapprove)

Down 15 points in Wisconsin (53% disapprove)

In fact, according to the Morning Consult polls, Trump’s support has dropped by double digits since 2016 in every single state with the exception of Idaho, where he has gained six points.

Polls aren’t scientific, the 2020 race will be hard and likely close, and there is always the possibility that the Democratic Party and its candidate will screw up. My point is that the anti-Trump resistance has a LOT going for it. We must reject the false notion that there is a sizeable group of undecided voters out there that are still in play and focus like monomaniacs on getting out the Democratic vote in those states.

Getting out the Democratic vote in nine states is not rocket science. It’s not a herculean task. Stop being scared and fearful and undecided and paralyzed. Stop whimpering and get to work on taking advantage of your built-in political advantages and your party’s recent momentum by volunteering and donating.

Most importantly, live up to the commitment the vast majority of us have made since 2016—to support
the 2020 Democratic nominee.

This brings us to Bernie Sanders.

(Full disclosure: I voted for Bernie Sanders in the primaries and Hillary Clinton in the general in 2016. The only candidate I have contributed to this year is Elizabeth Warren. I will vote for whoever wins the Democratic nomination.)

Sanders won the popular vote in Iowa and will likely win tonight in New Hampshire. It’s to Sanders’ advantage to have as many opponents as possible, and it looks like none of the current currents will drop out after New Hampshire. Sanders is in an excellent position to do well on Super Tuesday, when Democrats in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Massachusetts, Maine, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Vermont go to the polls.

Joe Biden will end up finishing fourth or fifth in Iowa and New Hampshire. He is like the pilot of a plane that is out of fuel and is trying to survive an emergency landing, which in Biden’s case will be an airstrip in South Carolina. Fresh polls there show that Michael Bloomberg, who has been saturating South Carolina with television ads, is taking a big chunk of African American voters away from Biden, which is the worst possible news for the former Vice President.

If Sanders does well tonight and on Super Tuesday, and the non-socialist opposition—Buttigieg, Warren, and Klobuchar—continueto split the anti-Bernie vote, Sanders’ only real opponent for the nomination will be Michael Bloomberg. Try to imagine a more disastrous scenario for the anti-Trump resistance than the Democratic Party spurning the candidate that won the most delegates in favor of a billionaire who bought his standing in polls. You can’t. That would not only mean the reelection of Trump but the end of the Democratic
party.

A lot can happen, but tomorrow morning it will probably look like Sanders will complete the takeover of the
Democratic Party that he nearly captured in 2016 and will be the one who runs against Trump.

There are a lot of Democrats still in the race, but none of them are as misunderstood and undervalued by Democratic voters than Bernie Sanders. James Carville spoke for many Democrats when he said “Are we out of our fucking minds?” about the prospect of Sanders winning the nomination.

What’s behind this reaction are the perceptions that (1) Sanders is too extreme, (2) Sanders is a self-proclaimed democratic socialist can’t win, (3) Sanders can’t win swing voters, and (3) Sanders would not be the Democratic Party “unity” candidate we need to get out the Democratic vote in November.

Sanders’ platform is only extreme when viewed in relationship to the policies of the White Supremacist Party, which has morphed from the Republican Party of old to a full-blown fascismovement dedicated to white power and the ultra-rich. Agree with Sanders’ platform or not, it doesn’t shy way from addressing real issues that Americans really care about, including healthcare, climate change, getting money out of politics, and the enormous gap between the ultra-rich and the rest of us that has destroyed the American middle class. Sanders’ positions have become more mainstream since 2016, and his influence is seen in the platforms of all the other candidates. Sanders’ command of the issue of income inequality make him the best candidate to puncture Trump’s biggest political advantage—the myth that our economy is doing well.

This perception focuses on “electability,” which is a new term that is not only meaningless but that casts a dangerous fog over political reality. Presidential elections are primarily thumbs-up or thumbs-down votes on the performance of the party currently in the White House. The only times the opposing nominee has been a determining factor have been when he or she is truly charismatic and inspirational, like Reagan, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama were. The history of Presidential elections is littered with the corpses of “electable” Democrats. Surely we haven’t already forgotten Michael Dukakis, Al Gore, John Kerry and Hillary Clinton.

It’s an indisputable fact is that Sanders has consistently led Trump in head-to-head polling in battleground states. Too many Democrats fail to appreciate that Sanders is way out in front of the party when it comes to understanding the national rage that has resulted from income inequality. His success has come from a lifetime spent focused on this issue. He’s shown real leadership, and it’s made him the leader of a movement. Many Democrats seem to view this as a bad thing, something cultish that is somehow threatening, when in fact the timing seems right, when the passion of his supporters is unmatched by any other candidate, and when he resonates so intensely with young Americans.

And don’t forget that Sanders is beating Trump in the polls after describing himself as a democratic socialist. So many Democrats are terrified because Trump will brand Sanders as a communist, which he will certainly do. But you are seriously deluded if you think that Trump wouldn’t throw an equal amount of raw sewage at Amy Klobuchar. This notion that the Democrats will win if they nominate someone with the least amount of pre-existing baggage is incredibly naïve. Democrats need an aggressive campaigner this year against the Master of Sleaze and a candidate who is not shy about declaring Trump to be what he is: a racist, a fascist, and a misogynist.

When Democrats dismiss Sanders as a cult leader, they are ignoring the obvious fact that Sanders is a phenomenally skilled politician. In five years he has nearly completed a takeover of a political party that he has never been a member of. Many Democrats hate this about Sanders, but these folks rarely asks themselves why their party has been so ripe for the picking by an outsider. Sanders is the best fundraiser among the Democrats and he’s done that on an average donation of $18. That’s an incredible political feat. And Sanders is proving to have the best organization and ground game, too. Sanders’ fundraising skills and organization would be incredibly valuable in the general election.

Sanders is a stark contrast to Trump. Integrity versus dishonesty, courage versus cowardice,  empathy versus privilege, eloquence versus profanity, tenacity versus changeableness , democrat versus authoritarian—name the quality, and Sanders and Trump couldn’t be more opposite.

If he wins most of the delegates in the primaries, Sanders will be the best Democratic Party unity candidate, if only because if he is denied the nomination the party will be split apart.

Democrats like to bask in the reflective glory of the Obama era, and there is a lot of be proud of there. But in this existential Presidential election facing us and the extreme peril we are facing, we anti-Trumpers should be looking at a similarly critical election in an equally perilous time.

In 1932 Democrats faced an unpopular President and a polarized electorate. They rejected the politics of the past and the once-failed candidacy of Al Smith and instead nominated Franklin Roosevelt, a candidate with a seemingly radical agenda aimed at solving the real challenges facing the country.

Roosevelt never shied away from taking it to the Republicans. Here’s what he told his followers in Madison Square Garden in 1936:

“We had to struggle with the old enemies of peace--business and financial monopoly, speculation, reckless banking, class antagonism, sectionalism, war profiteering. They had begun to consider the Government of the United States as a mere appendage to their own affairs. Weknow now that Government by organized money is just as dangerous as Governmentby organized mob. Never before in all our history have these forces been so united against one candidate as they stand today. They are unanimous in their hate for me--and I welcome their hatred.”

Which current Democratic candidate comes closest to Roosevelt’sprogressive—and aggressive—brand of politics?



It's the Simplicity, Smartypants

We like to think that our politics are complex and heavily influenced by events and arguments. This feels especially true given the avalanche of incidents, crises, scandals and tweets that we’ve struggled to process since January 20, 2017.

But there is nothing complex about politics under Trump.

We Americans made up our minds about Trump three years ago. Events and statements that would have crippled or even ended any other administration—Manafort, Flynn, Mueller, Stormy Daniels, Charlottesville, Helsinki, caged children and separated families, Michael Cohen, Khashoggi, the lies used to explain Soleimani’s assassination, the racist travel band, the end of press briefings and news conferences, the charges of sexual assault, and impeachment, to name just a small fraction—have had ZERO impact on Trump’s poll numbers.

Those numbers have barely moved in three years, and they are not going to move over the next ten months. No matter what happens.

Trump approval ratings over the past three years as tracked by 538.com

Trump approval ratings over the past three years as tracked by 538.com

The Democrats had to impeach Trump, and Adam Schiff and the other impeachment managers did an absolutely brilliant job of making the case against him. The House Democrats need to continue to hold hearings, because those hearings and great reporting are the only forces for accountability left in Trumpworld.

If you believe that any argument, debate, incident, shock or statement that happens between now and November will change Trump’s reelection chances, you’re not going to use your time between now and the election wisely and you will increase the likelihood of Trump being elected.

Trump’s sizeable base has shown that they are perfectly willing to abandon the Constitution, the concept of fair elections, a free press, basic human decency, and their own national security in order to keep Trump in power. Nothing will convince them otherwise to any significant degree. Nothing.

And yet so many in the “resistance” continue to act, in denial of 1,095 days of constant evidence to the contrary, that one more document, one more scandal, one more tape, or one more unassailable argument will
turn the tide.

It’s hard to leave reality-based politics behind. It will excruciating to watch Trump take his victory lap after the Senate acquits him. But there is a empowering clarity underneath all these poll numbers, and if the resistance embraces it we will be focused and effective and we will removed Trump. If we continue to overthink the 2020 election, Trump will win.

The politics of 2020 could not be simpler. Only two things matter.

First, the majority of Americans have been opposed to Trump since day one.

Second, the only 2020 results that will matter will be those Wisconsin, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Michigan, North Carolina, Arizona, and Florida.

If the Democrats turn out their vote in those eight states, Trump will be removed. If they don’t, he’ll be elected.

Start NOW to campaign and donate in ways that increase Democratic turnout in those critical states.

We have 282 days left.